Liverpool’s Underlying Numbers For 2024/25 Equal Man City’s Very Best

This Liverpool are (so far) a team for the ages

Elite

I’ve been tracking xG Difference per game closely this season, as well as xG Difference as a whole.

Liverpool’s league per-game average of creating 1.46xG more than they’re conceding is only fractionally behind the best Man City sides; and now, also just ahead of the best Liverpool side of the xG-counting era (+1.45), 2021/22’s unlucky Reds – who racked up 92 points, deserved to win the Champions League final, and still won both domestic cups.

But if you add in the small matter of six Champions League games against Real Madrid, Bayern Leverkusen, AC Milan, et al, then it rises to even more impressive levels.

As with goal difference, xG Difference can be skewed by gorges. But looking game by game, the consistency of Liverpool is startling. The table isn’t that much better than last season at this point, but the context, including underlying numbers, is much more in Liverpool’s favour.

Right now, 21 league games, plus six more in Europe’s premier competition (against a lot of very high-ranking clubs), is a very healthy sample of 27 games.

And rather than get worse during some recent draws, the numbers have got better; which itself pointed towards the two late goals yesterday, due to the sheer weight of pressure, shots, chances, corners and kitchen sinks.

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